The New York Yankees will square off with the Kansas City Royals in an MLB matchup on Tuesday. This prediction is based on 10,000 simulations of the game.

Kansas City Royals left-hander Noah Cameron has a sparkling 0.85 ERA, which may be more smoke and mirrors than reality. He hasn't missed bats (5.40 K/9), and his expected ERA sits at 3.18. That's still respectable, but it's leaps and bounds beyond his current rate.

A series opener between the Kansas City Royals (34-32) and New York Yankees (39-25) is on deck Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, at Kauffman Stadium. The Yankees are a favorite (-200) at the Royals (+168). The Yankees will give the ball to Max Fried (8-1) against the Royals and Noah Cameron (2-1).