When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

But yield curves can invert when investors expect a recession resulting from the Federal Reserve policy lifting interest ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

The bond market shows unusual bear steepening, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term. Learn how investors should ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...