Stocks are rallying — but is a recession on our doorstep?

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

But yield curves can invert when investors expect a recession resulting from the Federal Reserve policy lifting interest ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

Not too long ago, there was a bit of a frenzy over an inverted yield curve. The financial news media went crazy for it, policymakers got nervous and the stock market freaked out. But what is an ...

Silverstein: Will we end up with an inverted yield curve, and is that something that you're worried about? Tipp: Well, you know, you have to pay attention. Every cycle is different, obviously ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

If the curve remains inverted for long enough, it could cause a credit crunch and recession. Stocks move most on the gap between expectations and reality. Reading the yield curve correctly can ...

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted yield curve can be so reliable in predicting recession and why market watchers are talking about it now. Illustration: Ryan Trefes Dion Rabouin breaks ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted since mid-2022 (short-term rates exceeded long-term rates). According to the Duke professor who pioneered yield-curve analysis, Campbell Harvey ...

It was inverted for two years, a classic recession warning sign. Since the the 1960s, similar "bear steepening" patterns in the yield curve, following an inversion, typically occurred when the U.S ...