Xiaoli is Associate Strategist for Global Asset Allocation, our portfolio construction service. In this role, she advises CIOs and asset allocation teams on optimum ways to structure global ...

Our tactical framework highlights how financial conditions and economic surprises interact, where growth often sows the seeds of its own demise. Markets price expectations efficiently but lack perfect ...

Our Geopolitical Strategy team published their annual outlook, and see three trends shaping 2025. First, Congress is expected to pass tax cuts by the end of 2025, providing a fiscal thrust of 0.9% of ...

The Q1 US GDP contraction and inflation dynamics reinforce our defensive asset allocation. GDP missed estimates and contracted -0.3% annualized, led by a sharp slowdown in net exports. Consumption ...

Soft data continues to deteriorate and hard data will soon follow, reinforcing our defensive asset allocation. Consumer and business confidence have plunged as policy uncertainty and inflation ...

Elevated US equities valuations and their impact on returns are a hot topic right now. Valuations are not a tactical or cyclical timing tool, but they help predict long-term returns. Our Global Asset ...

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BCA Research is the leading independent provider of global investment research Since 1949, BCA Research's mission has been to shape the level of conviction with which our clients make investment ...

In our simulations of fairly deep global recessions averaging -1.5% in 2024 global GDP growth, we expect OPEC 2.0 to reduce output enough to offset lost demand. Even so, we find oil prices drop ~ ...

BCA House View: Bracing For Recession And Rising Stagflation Risk ...

BCA Research is the leading independent provider of global investment research Since 1949, BCA Research's mission has been to shape the level of conviction with which our clients make investment ...

BCA Research is the leading independent provider of global investment research Since 1949, BCA Research's mission has been to shape the level of conviction with which our clients make investment ...