Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields. Read the latest update in the article series, as of May 16, 2025.

The signs have been with us, depending on whom you ask, pretty much since the last recession in early 2020. First-quarter GDP showed the economy shrinking by 0.3% instead of the forecast 0.4% growth.

A bear market happens when a major stock index drops 20% or more from recent highs for at least two months. But smart ...

Bond market mayhem over the past few months has been a boon for investment bankers. Traders are enjoying their highest levels of revenue in over a decade. But the rise of bond vigilantes — investors ...

the government is currently engaged in activities that will impact economic growth. If those actions are combined with those ...

Income investors should look at the closer end of the yield curve. One solid option: the iShares 0–3 Month Treasury Bond ETF ( SGOV ). This ETF pays a 5.17% annual yield, distributed monthly, and has ...

US Treasuries are often described as the “risk-free asset” of the global financial system. They’re the unsexy I-owe-you ...

At a Hybrid meeting hosted by the Pathfinder Foundation, Dr. Liu Zongyi, Senior Fellow & Director, Center for South Asia Studies at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS), elaborated ...

Treasury yield moved higher while Commerzbank said Moody’s decision to downgrade the U.S. to Aa1 from Aaa added to the risks of Treasury curve steepening.