The US economy kicked off 2025 by adding 143,000 jobs in January, fewer than expected; but the unemployment rate dipped to 4% ...

Over the past year, however, President Donald Trump’s threatened 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada have plunged ...

The duties will also cause self-inflicted economic damage and drive up inflation, warns Quantum Strategy's David Roche.

With the global economy facing uncertainty, many are wondering how a potential recession could affect their lives. While the ...

Aggregate US debt is $101.353T, or 3.45x GDP, indicating a historically high leverage that risks recession. Read why ...

The more savings and income sources you have, the more you’ll be financially protected in the event of a recession or ...

John P. Hussman, who correctly called the 2000 and 2008 declines, said a recession might hit the U.S. economy as soon as in ...

The resolution of the inverted 10-year and 3-month yield curve usually signals a recession down range. Inflation expectations are reflected in the term premium, which has increased considerably ...

Notably, recession odds have tumbled since early November 2024. Kalshi betting markets showed a sharp drop from over 50% to just 23% following Donald Trump ‘s election victory.

In December, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office warned that if Trump slapped a 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% ...

The New York Fed model assigns a 29% probability of a recession by 2025, down from 70% in mid-2023. Kalshi betting markets show recession odds falling from 50% to 23% after Donald Trump’s ...